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Illustration for: Samsung Posts Record Profit, Shares Fall on AI Chip Boom
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Samsung Posts Record Profit, Shares Fall on AI Chip Boom

Samsung Electronics reported record second-quarter operating profit of roughly 89.5 trillion won on booming AI memory demand, yet shares fell as investors judged the blockbuster quarter already priced in after a near-150% year-to-date run.

TC
Trace Cohen
Early-stage VC & angel · Founder, New York Venture Partners
July 30, 2026
1 min read
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THE RUNDOWN

1

Samsung's Q2 operating profit hit a record roughly 89.5 trillion won (~$62 billion), up 56% from the prior quarter and the company's third consecutive quarter of record operating profit, driven by AI server memory demand

2

The company shipped the industry's first HBM4E samples to major customers and scaled up HBM4 sales, positioning it alongside SK Hynix and Micron in the highest-margin tier of the AI memory market

3

Despite the record print, Samsung shares fell as investors weighed the results against a near-150% run-up in the stock over the course of the year -- the good news was already baked into the price

4

The reaction lands the same day SK Hynix's own Q2 miss triggered a fresh chip-stock selloff across Asia, showing investors are now scrutinizing AI-memory earnings quality far more closely than headline profit growth alone

TC

The VC Read · Trace's Take

Trace Cohen

A record quarter that still can't move the stock is the cleanest "priced for perfection" signal you'll see this earnings season -- a 150% YTD run means Samsung needed a genuine surprise, not just excellent execution, and didn't get one. HBM4E shipping first is the real underlying story for anyone building on memory-adjacent AI infra; just don't confuse the stock reaction with the demand fundamentals, they're telling two different stories right now.

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Analysis

Samsung Electronics reported record second-quarter operating profit of roughly 89.5 trillion won (about $62 billion), up 56% from the prior quarter, marking the company's third consecutive quarter of record operating profit. Revenue rose 28% quarter-over-quarter to roughly 171.5 trillion won, with AI server memory demand cited as the primary driver -- Samsung achieved all-time high DRAM and NAND sales and shipped the industry's first HBM4E samples to major customers during the quarter.

Despite the blockbuster numbers, Samsung shares fell on the results. The explanation is almost entirely about positioning rather than fundamentals: Samsung stock has run up nearly 150% so far this year on anticipation of exactly this kind of AI-memory earnings strength, meaning much of Thursday's record profit was already reflected in the share price before the print landed. When a quarter this strong still can't move the stock higher, it's a sign expectations have outrun even genuinely excellent execution.

“Despite the blockbuster numbers, Samsung shares fell on the results.”

The reaction lands the same day SK Hynix's own Q2 results missed Wall Street estimates, triggering a broader selloff across Asian chip stocks that dragged down names with no direct connection to Samsung's specific results. Together, the two prints show a memory market where investors are now discriminating sharply within the sector -- rewarding execution at the margin rather than treating "AI memory demand" as a uniform bullish thesis across every chipmaker.

For VCs with portfolio exposure to AI infrastructure and memory-adjacent startups, Samsung's results confirm the underlying demand story is intact -- HBM4E is shipping, DRAM and NAND are at record volumes -- even as the stock-market reaction shows how much of that demand story is already priced into public comparables. What to watch: whether Samsung's HBM4E ramp accelerates faster than SK Hynix's, and whether the stock eventually re-rates upward if AI capex fears from this week's broader selloff prove overdone.

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Analysis and editorial commentary by Value Add Pulse.

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@Trace_Cohen·t@nyvp.com