Illustration for: Empirical Security Raises $25M to Predict AI-Era Exploits

Empirical Security Raises $25M to Predict AI-Era Exploits

Cybersecurity startup Empirical Security raised a $25 million Series A led by Brightmind Partners to build predictive models that flag which of the 18,000+ actively exploited vulnerabilities actually threaten a given organization.

By the Numbers

$25M Series A
Raise
$37M
Total funding
18,000+
CVEs monitored
Brightmind Partners
Lead investor
TC
By the Funding Desk
Edited by Trace Cohen · Early-stage VC & angel · Founder, New York Venture Partners
1 min read
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THE RUNDOWN

1

Empirical Security, co-founded by Kenna Security alumni Ed Bellis, Michael Roytman and Jay Jacobs, raised $25 million in Series A funding led by Brightmind Partners, bringing total funding to $37 million

2

The Chicago-based company builds predictive exposure-management models: Foundation, a global model monitoring more than 18,000 actively exploited CVEs, and Radiant, a custom predictive engine tuned to each customer's specific environment

3

It lands the same week as Glow's $1.2 billion stealth debut in AI-agent endpoint security and Neo's $100 million raise for agentic AI security -- part of a broader capital wave into AI-era security categories beyond traditional endpoint protection

4

Founders Bellis, Roytman and Jacobs previously built and sold Kenna Security to Cisco, giving Empirical unusually strong technical credibility in vulnerability prioritization, a category increasingly overwhelmed by AI-accelerated exploit development

TC

The VC Read · Trace's Take

Trace Cohen

A founding team that already built and sold Kenna Security to Cisco is the entire diligence memo here -- they know exactly where exposure management breaks at scale. This isn't the flashiest raise this week, but AI-accelerated exploit development is a real and growing problem, and prediction-and-prioritization is a smarter wedge than trying to out-endpoint the endpoint incumbents directly.

Analysis

Empirical Security, a Chicago-based cybersecurity startup, raised $25 million in Series A funding led by Brightmind Partners, with participation from earlier backers Costanoa Ventures and Hyde Park Angels, bringing its total funding to $37 million, Axios reported. The company was co-founded by Ed Bellis, Michael Roytman and Jay Jacobs -- the team behind Kenna Security, which the trio built and sold to Cisco, and behind the Exploit Prediction Scoring System (EPSS) used industry-wide.

Empirical's product is exposure management, not endpoint detection: its Foundation model monitors more than 18,000 actively exploited CVEs globally to predict which vulnerabilities matter, while Radiant is a custom predictive engine fine-tuned to each customer's specific environment to surface the threats most relevant to it. The pitch is that most organizations drown in vulnerability alerts without a reliable way to prioritize which ones are actually being exploited in the wild.

The pitch is that most organizations drown in vulnerability alerts without a reliable way to prioritize which ones are actually being exploited in the wild.

The round lands in the middle of a broader capital wave into AI-era security -- the same week Glow emerged from stealth at a $1.2 billion valuation targeting AI-agent endpoint security, and following Neo's $100 million raise for agentic AI security. Empirical's angle is adjacent but distinct: prediction and prioritization rather than real-time agent containment, addressing a problem that's gotten worse as AI-accelerated exploit development shortens the window between vulnerability disclosure and active attack.

For security-focused investors, the founding team's Kenna Security pedigree is doing real work here -- exposure management and vulnerability prioritization is a category where technical credibility from operators who've already built and sold in exactly this space is unusually valuable, since the product's core promise of accurate prediction is hard to fake with marketing alone.

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Key Sources

2 sources
SourceAxios

Reported by Axios · Analysis by Value Add Pulse.

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