Figure AI Valuation 2026: Still $39B Post-Money as of October 21, With Nvidia Reportedly Eyeing $1B More

As of October 21, 2026, Figure AI's valuation is still $39 billion post-money — the price its Series C investors agreed to in September 2025, and still the highest primary mark attached to any humanoid robotics company. No new round has closed; the newest development is an October report in The Information that Nvidia discussed investing another $1 billion. Secondary quotes for Figure shares have widened rather than settled: Forge Global read $174 on August 13, Hiive listed $194.44 on September 6, and Clarity (formerly Hiive) showed $204.27 on October 21.

The sector has gone from Boston Dynamics backflip videos to actual paid deployments in under three years, and Figure is the company every other humanoid startup gets measured against on price. That makes the gap between its $39B primary mark and where secondaries are actually trading the most useful data point in the entire category — it's the market's real-time referendum on whether robotics hype has caught up to robotics revenue, and this month it's a noisier referendum than it was in August.

Figure AI: Key Numbers (as of October 21, 2026)

Only the Series C is a priced round. The Nvidia figure is a single-origin report of talks, and secondary-market quotes are thin, platform-specific indications rather than a company valuation.

Figure AI's Valuation: The $39 Billion Series C, Explained

Figure AI closed a Series C that exceeded $1 billion in commitments in September 2025, pricing the company at a $39 billion post-money valuation according to the company's own Series C announcement and coverage from PR Newswire. That's up roughly 15x from the $2.6 billion mark Figure carried after its Series B just eighteen months earlier, in February 2024, when it raised $675 million.

No primary round has priced Figure as of October 21, 2026. What's changed since mid-August is that the secondary market's read on that number has stopped moving in one direction. Per Forge Global, Figure shares traded at $174.00 as of August 13, 2026; Nasdaq Private Market quoted $162.71 back on June 16; and Hiive (now Clarity) listed $194.44 as of September 6, above the other two, and showed $204.27 when we checked on October 21. All three are indicative, thinly-traded prices rather than a new company-wide valuation, and they no longer agree closely enough to support a single "the market discounts Figure" narrative — the honest read is that private secondary pricing for Figure is noisy and platform-dependent right now, not cleanly above or below the Series C mark.

Who Invested in Figure AI?

Parkway Venture Capital led the Series C. Participants included NVIDIA, Microsoft, Intel Capital, Brookfield Asset Management, the OpenAI Startup Fund, and Jeff Bezos through Bezos Expeditions — a lineup that's less a typical VC syndicate and more a coalition of the compute, cloud, and capital providers a robotics company needs to actually scale manufacturing. NVIDIA and Microsoft aren't just writing checks; they're also potential suppliers and platform partners, which blurs the line between "investor" and "strategic customer" in a way pure financial VCs can't replicate.

That's a different investor base than Figure had at its Series B, when Bezos, NVIDIA, and a smaller group backed the $675 million raise at $2.6 billion. The Series C added Parkway as lead plus three more strategics — Microsoft, Intel Capital, Brookfield — signaling that later-stage capital for humanoid robotics increasingly comes from parties with a direct commercial interest in the outcome, not just financial upside.

Does Figure AI Make Money?

Figure AI has not published a 2026 revenue figure, but it has told investors it's targeting roughly $9 billion in revenue by 2029, according to industry trackers reviewing its fundraising materials. That's a forward target, not a trailing number — treat it the way you'd treat any founder-supplied five-year projection from a pre-revenue-scale hardware company: directionally useful, not a number to underwrite a valuation off of.

What is verifiable is the commercial deployment pace. Figure has moved Figure 02 and now Figure 03 units into BMW's Spartanburg, South Carolina manufacturing plant, where robots insert sheet-metal parts into the assembly line, and reportedly into a pilot with UPS. Manufacturing capacity has scaled fast: Figure's BotQ facility in San Jose is built for 12,000 Figure 03 units per year in its initial configuration, with a stated four-year path to 100,000 units annually. As of May 2026, Figure said it had gone from producing one robot per day to one robot per hour at BotQ — a 24x throughput jump in about 120 days.

What the headline misses

"$39 billion valuation" and "12,000 units of manufacturing capacity" are both true and both easy to overread. Manufacturing capacity is not units sold, and BMW plus a reported UPS pilot is still a two-customer commercial base for a company priced above most public industrial robotics companies combined. The $9 billion 2029 revenue target implies Figure needs to go from an undisclosed, almost certainly sub-$100 million 2026 revenue base to nine-figure-then-ten-figure annual revenue in three years — a curve that would be aggressive even for a proven enterprise SaaS company, let alone a hardware business with 12,000-unit factory capacity it hasn't said it's using anywhere close to full.

What's Changed Since Mid-August 2026

Three things moved in this category between the original August 14 version of this post and September 14, 2026, and none of them touch Figure's own $39 billion primary mark — but two of them change how that number should be read relative to the rest of the field.

Figure signed a multibillion-dollar compute deal. On September 3, 2026, Figure and UK infrastructure firm Nscale announced a strategic partnership, confirmed by independent coverage from Unite.AI, to deploy up to 100,000 NVIDIA Vera Rubin GPUs for training Figure's Helix foundation models. The initial commitment is $3.5 billion of compute, with both companies stating an intent to scale it past $6 billion; deployment is targeted for the second half of 2027 at a leased Nscale data center in Barstow, Texas. Nscale is also taking an equity stake in Figure as part of the deal — the size wasn't disclosed, so it isn't reflected in the $1.9 billion total-funding figure above until Figure or Nscale discloses terms.

Unitree's public listing turned into a stress test for the whole category's pricing. Unitree priced its Shanghai STAR Market IPO at a $9 billion valuation on August 6, 2026, then surged as much as 629% on its August 19 trading debut, per the South China Morning Post, briefly implying a roughly $66 billion valuation. That didn't hold: Bloomberg reported Unitree had plunged about 50% from that peak by September 2, and the stock kept sliding to roughly 202 billion yuan (~$28 billion) in market capitalization by September 10, 2026. Even after that pullback, a publicly traded Unitree is now priced at roughly three times its own IPO mark and a lot closer to Figure's $39 billion than the "~$9 billion" figure this post used in August.

1X Technologies got marked down, not up. 1X had been seeking roughly $1 billion in new funding at a $10 billion valuation, but The Information reported on August 26, 2026 that SoftBank is instead negotiating to buy a majority stake at close to $6 billion — a discount of roughly 40% to that target, according to Tech Funding News's coverage of the same talks. As of September 2026 those talks hadn't been confirmed as closed by either company, so treat $6 billion as the current reported figure, not a finalized round.

Figure AI Valuation Compared to Every Other Humanoid Robotics Company

Figure AI's $39 billion valuation is still the highest primary or public mark of any humanoid robotics company as of October 21, 2026, but the gap is smaller than it was in August. A publicly traded Unitree Robotics is now worth roughly $28 billion — putting Figure at about 1.4 times Unitree's value rather than the four-to-six-times gap this post described in August — after Unitree's post-IPO stock swung from a $9 billion offering price to a $66 billion debut-day peak and back down, per Bloomberg and SCMP reporting above. 1X Technologies, previously targeting $10 billion, is instead the subject of SoftBank talks valuing it near $6 billion, per The Information. Apptronik, backed by Google and Mercedes-Benz, still sits around $5.3 billion following its February 2026 raise, and Agility Robotics is heading toward Nasdaq via a SPAC merger valuing it near $2.5 billion.

Should Figure AI's Valuation Worry Investors Watching AI Robotics?

The secondary-market signal is murkier than it looked in August, and that itself is the useful data point for anyone pricing the broader category. When Series C investors — NVIDIA, Microsoft, Brookfield, a lead fund with real diligence resources — set a price, and three different secondary platforms then disagree by roughly 20% on where shares trade (Forge's $174 versus Hiive's $194.44), that's a read on how thin and inconsistent humanoid-robotics secondary liquidity still is, not a clean verdict that the market has marked Figure up or down. It's the same dynamic that shows up across our AI valuations tracker: primary rounds keep setting record marks while secondary liquidity stays too thin to fully validate or refute them.

The Bottom Line

Figure AI's $39 billion valuation is real, primary, and backed by investors with the compute and manufacturing relationships to actually move the company forward — not just capital. It's now about a year old, set before Figure 03 hit full commercial-scale production and before the Nscale compute deal, and secondary marketplaces disagree by roughly $32 a share on what it implies today rather than converging on a single discount or premium. Whether the $39 billion mark holds depends on whether BMW-style deployments multiply into dozens of customers over the next year, whether the newly public Unitree stabilizes closer to its $28 billion September level or keeps sliding toward its $9 billion IPO price, and whether $9 billion by 2029 turns out to be the kind of founder projection that ages the way most five-year hardware forecasts do.