VC
Value Add VC
⚡HomePulse⚡Helpful Apps📝Blog🤝Partner
Illustration for: Palantir Revenue Nearly Doubles, Erases Short Bets
Value Add VC/Pulse/BIG TECH$1.94B Q2 revenue

Palantir Revenue Nearly Doubles, Erases Short Bets

Palantir's Q2 revenue rose 93% to $1.94B and full-year guidance climbed to at least $8.15B, sending shares up 29% in a single session and wiping out roughly $3B in short-sellers' gains.

By the Numbers

$1.94B
Q2 revenue
+93% YoY
Revenue growth
+149%
US commercial growth
+29.45%
Stock reaction
at least $8.15B
FY guidance
TC
Trace Cohen
Early-stage VC & angel · Founder, New York Venture Partners
August 4, 2026
1 min read
ShareXLinkedInEmail

THE RUNDOWN

1

Revenue grew 93% year over year to $1.94 billion, beating consensus, with US commercial revenue up 149% to $764 million and US government revenue up 90% to $809 million

2

Full-year guidance was raised to at least $8.15 billion company-wide and more than $3.42 billion for US commercial alone, implying at least 134% commercial growth for the year

3

Shares closed up 29.45% at $162.66 the day the results came out, erasing roughly $3 billion in short-sellers' mark-to-market gains built up earlier in 2026

4

CEO Alex Karp used the earnings call and follow-up interviews to sharpen his ongoing criticism of Anthropic and OpenAI, arguing enterprises adopting AI without an operational layer like Palantir's end up with pilots that never reach production

TC

The VC Read · Trace's Take

Trace Cohen

$6.24B in US commercial remaining deal value is backlog, not booked revenue -- that's the number I'd push on before believing the stock's move is fully earned, not the 93% headline growth rate. Karp's shots at Anthropic and OpenAI are a real competitive claim about deployment versus pilots, and it's also exactly what a CEO says the day his stock has its best session in months. Track customer count growth against revenue-per-customer growth next quarter -- that ratio tells you whether this is genuine expansion or existing accounts spending more.

AI Valuations Tracker →

Analysis

US Commercial Did the Heavy Lifting

Palantir reported second-quarter revenue of $1.94 billion, up 93% from about $1 billion a year earlier, according to [Yahoo Finance](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/palantir-q2-2026-earnings-revenue-111006525.html). US commercial revenue -- the segment Palantir has spent three years building outside its original government contracts -- grew 149% to $764 million, while US government revenue grew a still-substantial 90% to $809 million. Net income came in at $1.06 billion, or $0.41 per diluted share, and the company raised full-year guidance to at least $8.15 billion company-wide.

The stock reaction was the story's second act. Shares closed up 29.45% at $162.66, and per [Seeking Alpha](https://seekingalpha.com/news/4625628-palantir-short-sellers-sustain-3b-loss-following-stocks-30-rally), short sellers betting against Palantir watched roughly $3 billion in mark-to-market gains built up earlier in 2026 reverse in a single session. Palantir has been one of the market's most contested AI stocks precisely because bears argue its valuation already prices in years of growth it hasn't delivered yet -- Tuesday's print did not settle that argument, but it did not help the bear case either.

“Net income came in at $1.06 billion, or $0.41 per diluted share, and the company raised full-year guidance to at least $8.15 billion company-wide.”

Karp used the results to needle Palantir's AI-lab rivals directly, per [Foreign Policy Journal's](https://www.foreignpolicyjournal.com/2026/08/04/palantir-nasdaq-pltr-q2-revenue-nearly-doubles-as-ceo-alex-karp-intensifies-criticism-of-anthropic-and-openai/) coverage of the call, framing Palantir's ontology-based deployment model as the difference between AI pilots that ship and ones that stay stuck in a lab. That is a real competitive claim and also a convenient one for a company whose stock just had its best day in months.

The counterweight worth noting: Palantir still trades at a valuation multiple far above almost any enterprise software comparable, US commercial remaining deal value of $6.24 billion is a backlog rather than booked revenue, and a single quarter's beat does not resolve whether that backlog converts on the timeline the stock now prices in.

What to watch: whether Palantir's US commercial customer count keeps growing at the same rate its revenue per customer is growing, and whether Karp's public criticism of Anthropic and OpenAI turns into disclosed competitive wins Palantir can point to by name.

ShareXLinkedInEmail

Analysis and editorial commentary by Value Add Pulse.

← Back to Pulse

THE WIRE in your inbox— Tech, startup & VC news with Trace's take. Free, no spam.

Read Next

BIG TECH· Aug 5, 2026

Dow Hits a Record as AI Capex Jitters Hit Nasdaq

Illustration for: Dow Hits a Record as AI Capex Jitters Hit Nasdaq
BIG TECH

Dow Hits a Record as AI Capex Jitters Hit Nasdaq

The Dow closed at a record for a fifth straight session while the Nasdaq fell on AI-capex jitters, and Palantir's still-standing 29% earnings pop shows investors separating AI infrastructure spending from AI software margins.

BIG TECH· Aug 4, 2026

OpenAI Fires Back at Apple's Trade Secret Suit

Illustration for: OpenAI Fires Back at Apple's Trade Secret Suit
BIG TECH

OpenAI Fires Back at Apple's Trade Secret Suit

OpenAI published internal chats and emails calling Apple's trade-secret lawsuit over its hardware plans careless, aggressive and oddly personal, escalating a fight that began when Apple sued in July.

BIG TECH· Aug 4, 2026

Amazon Joins the $3 Trillion Club on AI Cloud Demand

Illustration for: Amazon Joins the $3 Trillion Club on AI Cloud Demand
BIG TECH$3T market cap

Amazon Joins the $3 Trillion Club on AI Cloud Demand

Amazon crossed a $3 trillion market cap after AWS grew 37% to $42.2B on AI-driven cloud demand, joining Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet and Nvidia in a club it took just over two years to reach from $2 trillion.

@Trace_Cohen·t@nyvp.com