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Illustration for: SpaceX Faces Test as 911M Shares Unlock
Value Add VC/Pulse/BIG TECHBRIEFup to $116B unlocked

SpaceX Faces Test as 911M Shares Unlock

SpaceX's first major post-IPO lockup expiration freed 911.5M shares worth as much as $116B for sale on August 6, more than doubling the public float as the stock trades near $108, down from a post-IPO high above $225.

By the Numbers

911.5M
Shares unlocked
up to $116B
Value unlocked
639M to ~1.55B
Float before/after
$108.27
Recent close
Aug 20, Sept, Oct
Next unlocks
TC
Trace Cohen
Early-stage VC & angel · Founder, New York Venture Partners
August 6, 2026
1 min read
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TC

The VC Read · Trace's Take

Trace Cohen

Four consecutive months of unlock events landing while the stock already sits at less than half its post-IPO peak is a genuinely hard setup -- this isn't a one-day lockup pop, it's a slow-motion supply overhang running through October. The number I'd watch isn't August 6's price action, it's whether September's ~700M-share unlock clears without a sharper drawdown than this one, because that's the real test of whether long-term holders are absorbing supply or just waiting their turn to sell too.

Analysis

Restrictions preventing early SpaceX shareholders from selling as many as 911.5 million shares lifted on August 6, freeing up to $116 billion worth of stock in one of the largest share unlocks in capital markets history, according to CNBC and Fool.com. The unlock roughly doubles SpaceX's public float, from about 639 million shares to roughly 1.55 billion.

SpaceX debuted on Nasdaq in June, with shares initially jumping to $150 before surging past $225 within days. It's been a rockier eight weeks since: shares closed Wednesday, two days after SpaceX's first quarterly earnings report as a public company, at $108.27 -- less than half the post-IPO peak. This is only the first of several scheduled unlocks: roughly 319 million more shares become eligible on August 20, followed by close to 700 million each in September and October. A separate, longer lockup covering Elon Musk and select other shareholders runs until June 2027.

“SpaceX debuted on Nasdaq in June, with shares initially jumping to $150 before surging past $225 within days.”

The test isn't whether some early investors sell -- some always do at a lockup expiration -- it's whether the stock can absorb four consecutive months of expanding float without breaking meaningfully lower, at a moment when the shares are already trading well off their post-IPO high and broader AI-adjacent names have been selling off. Pulse has previously covered SpaceX's run-up to and aftermath of its Nasdaq debut, and this unlock is the first hard test of whether that IPO pricing holds once early holders can actually sell.

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Reported by CNBC · First reported by Fool.com · Analysis by Value Add Pulse.

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