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Illustration for: SK Hynix Earnings Miss Deepens $1 Trillion Chip Rout
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SK Hynix Earnings Miss Deepens $1 Trillion Chip Rout

SK Hynix posted a record quarterly profit that still fell short of Wall Street's AI-fueled expectations, sending its stock down nearly 10% and extending a chip-sector selloff that has now wiped out more than $1 trillion in market value.

~$42B (record)
SK Hynix profit
-9.6% Wed
SK Hynix stock
-45%
SK Hynix, 1-month
$1T+
Sector losses (week)
-40%
Kospi from June peak
TC
Trace Cohen
Early-stage VC & angel · Founder, New York Venture Partners
July 29, 2026
2 min read
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THE RUNDOWN

1

SK Hynix reported operating profit of about 60.5 trillion won (~$42B), a near sixfold jump year-over-year and a company record -- but it missed consensus estimates of roughly 64 trillion won, and the stock still fell 9.6% on the day

2

SK Hynix has now lost roughly 45% of its value in about a month, erasing more than $500 billion in market cap on its own, while Samsung, Micron, AMD, TSMC and Nvidia have each lost over $100 billion this week

3

South Korea's Kospi index has plunged about 40% from its June peak, and lawmakers are partly blaming the country's May rollout of leveraged single-stock ETF products for amplifying the swings -- the economy minister has publicly apologized to retail investors

4

The selloff reflects a market repricing whether AI infrastructure spending is peaking faster than expected, a question that now hangs directly over Microsoft and Meta's earnings later Wednesday and Apple and Amazon's Thursday

TC

The VC Read · Trace's Take

Trace Cohen

A company posting record profit and still getting hammered 10% is the market telling you the AI trade has stopped rewarding growth and started demanding perfection. Founders in AI infra should read the Korean leveraged-ETF subplot carefully -- retail-driven amplification is now a real tail risk on any AI-adjacent public comp you're using to justify a private round's valuation. This isn't over until Big Tech capex guidance this week either validates or kills the thesis.

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Analysis

SK Hynix just reported the best quarter in its history -- operating profit of roughly 60.5 trillion won, about $42 billion, nearly six times what it earned a year ago on the back of AI memory-chip demand -- and its stock still fell 9.6% on the day. The miss was narrow: analysts had modeled closer to 64 trillion won. But in a market that has spent 2026 pricing AI infrastructure names for perfection, narrowly missing a record is being treated the same as a genuine disappointment.

The stock reaction is the latest leg of a selloff that started building weeks ago. SK Hynix has now lost roughly 45% of its value in about a month, wiping out more than $500 billion in market capitalization from that single company. This week alone, more than $1 trillion has been erased across the world's most valuable chip stocks -- Nvidia, SK Hynix, Samsung, Micron, AMD and TSMC all down more than $100 billion apiece. South Korea's Kospi index, heavily weighted toward chipmakers, has fallen about 40% from its June peak.

There's a domestic wrinkle amplifying the move: South Korean lawmakers are linking part of the rout to the country's May rollout of leveraged single-stock ETF products, which let retail investors take amplified bets on names like SK Hynix -- and are now amplifying the losses on the way down. The country's economy minister has publicly apologized to retail investors caught in the swings, an unusual admission from a sitting official about a market-structure decision gone wrong.

“SK Hynix has now lost roughly 45% of its value in about a month, wiping out more than $500 billion in market capitalization from that single company.”

The underlying question is whether AI infrastructure capex is peaking faster than the market expected. Memory-chip demand from hyperscalers has been the single biggest driver of SK Hynix and Samsung's results all year, and both companies' stocks are now being punished not for slowing growth but for merely growing at a rate that fails to keep re-accelerating. That's a valuation problem more than a fundamentals problem -- but valuation problems are exactly what trigger the kind of cascading selloff underway this week.

The timing compounds the pressure: this selloff lands hours before Microsoft and Meta report second-quarter earnings, with Apple and Amazon following Thursday. All four are being watched for the same signal SK Hynix just failed to deliver -- not whether AI spending is growing, but whether it's growing fast enough to justify current multiples. A soft capex outlook from any of the four could deepen the chip rout further; a confident one could stabilize it.

What to watch: whether Wednesday and Thursday's Big Tech earnings calm or worsen the selloff, whether South Korean regulators move to unwind or restrict the leveraged ETF products blamed for amplifying retail losses, and whether Micron's upcoming results become the next flashpoint for the same record-beat-but-still-sells-off dynamic.

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Analysis and editorial commentary by Value Add Pulse.

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@Trace_Cohen·t@nyvp.com