AI & TechnologyJune 7, 2026·12 min read··Last updated: September 3, 2026

OpenAI Hits $40B ARR While Anthropic Surges to $65B (2026)

OpenAI's annualized run rate surged to $40 billion by August 2026 — roughly $3.3B a month — after a five-month plateau near $25B, driven by an enterprise breakout. OpenAI completed a $7B employee tender at a flat $852B valuation, while Anthropic's ARR reached $65B in July and is still well ahead. Here's the full picture.

TC
Trace Cohen
Co-Founder & GP at Six Point Ventures · 3x founder (BrandYourself, Launch.it, SPOT) · 65+ investments · Based in Boca Raton, FL
65+Investments3xFounder$200M+Funds Tracked

Quick Answer

$40 billion: OpenAI's annualized revenue run rate as of August 2026, up from a $25B plateau after an enterprise breakout. Its 2025 operating loss of $20.9B topped its $13.07B booked revenue, and it's now valued at $852B — still $25B behind Anthropic's $65B run rate.

OpenAI hit $40 billion in annualized revenue as of August 2026 — roughly $3.3B per month, a dramatic acceleration after holding flat near $25B through spring — with enterprise revenue now exceeding consumer for the first time, leaked audited financials showing a $20.9B operating loss on $13.07B of booked 2025 revenue, and a confidential S-1 filed June 8, 2026.

Growing revenue ~7x in two years was impressive — but doubling ARR from $25B to $40B in five months is a different gear entirely. Enterprise customers drove the breakout: business revenue topped consumer for the first time in July, with customer count growing 32% in a single month. The question now is whether Anthropic, whose ARR reached $65B in July, can hold its lead.

OpenAI Revenue 2026: The $40B ARR Breakdown by Product

August 2026 Update: OpenAI's ARR surged to $40B — up from the $25B plateau that held from February through May — driven by a 32% month-over-month jump in enterprise customers in July alone. Enterprise revenue now exceeds consumer for the first time. The rough breakdown: ~$22B from ChatGPT subscriptions, ~$12B from API consumption (boosted by GPT-5.6 adoption), and ~$6B from Sora, ads, and licensing.

Revenue Line2024EOY 2025Mid-2026% of Total
ChatGPT Plus ($20/mo)$1.9B$6.0B$8.5B34%
ChatGPT Team / Edu / Pro$0.3B$3.0B$4.5B18%
ChatGPT Enterprise$0.6B$3.4B$4.0B16%
API (GPT-5 class models)$0.8B$8.0B$6.5B26%
Sora + Ads + Licensing$0.1B$1.0B$1.5B6%
Total (annualized run rate)$3.7B*$21.4B$25.0B100%

Sources: OpenAI investor disclosures, The Information, FT, Bloomberg, Sacra, reported leaks Q1–Q2 2026. 2025 and 2026 figures are annualized run rates, not GAAP recognized revenue; *2024 is full-year booked revenue. Booked 2025 revenue was $13.07B per leaked audited financials.

From $1B to $25B, a Five-Month Plateau, Then a Breakout to $40B

The clearest way to see what happened: OpenAI passed $1B annualized revenue in mid-2023, booked $3.7B in 2024 and $13.07B in 2025, exited 2025 at a $21.4B run rate, and hit ~$25B by February 2026 — where it then stalled for five months. The plateau broke in July: president Greg Brockman said internally that the annualized run rate grew more than 20% month-over-month, and by mid-August Bloomberg reported the figure had topped $40B, roughly doubling the pace from the end of 2025. For context on how growth rates translate to AI vs SaaS valuation multiples, see the full breakdown.

Jun 2023

$1.0B

100M weekly

Dec 2024

$3.7B

300M weekly

Dec 2025

$21.4B

400M weekly

Feb–Jun 2026

~$25B (flat)

~900M weekly

Aug 2026

$40B (+60%)

~1B weekly

What broke the stall? Enterprise. ChatGPT's consumer base was largely saturated — 1 billion monthly actives as of June 2026 — so the net-new growth had to come from business contracts, and it did: enterprise customer count grew 32% in July alone, and enterprise revenue passed consumer for the first time that month. The $200/month Pro tier (500K+ subscribers, a $1.2B+ ARR line on its own) still compounds steadily, but it's enterprise procurement, not consumer conversion, now driving the acceleration. A closer look at what's actually inside those enterprise contracts and seat counts explains why that line is now doing more of the growth work than consumer subscriptions. Track broader adoption trends on the Enterprise AI Adoption dashboard.

The Leaked Financials: $13.07B of Revenue, a $20.9B Operating Loss

In June 2026, OpenAI's audited financial statements leaked — first reported by Ed Zitron and verified by the Financial Times and Fortune. The headline: a $20.92B operating loss on $13.07B of booked 2025 revenue — a loss larger than the revenue that produced it. Total costs came to roughly $34B, split between $19.18B of R&D and $5.73B of sales and marketing, with $17.2B flowing to Microsoft for Azure compute — more than OpenAI's entire annual revenue, to a single vendor.

The net loss was larger still: $38.5B, once a one-time, non-cash charge of roughly $41.55B tied to OpenAI's 2025 nonprofit-to-for-profit conversion is layered in. Strip out that structural noise and the $20.9B operating loss is the number that matters for anyone modeling the business. It also reframes the run-rate language OpenAI prefers: a $25B annualized pace is a projection off the latest month; $13.07B is what was actually booked and audited in 2025.

OpenAI Burn Rate and the Path to Profitability

OpenAI is on pace for roughly $14B in 2026 losses on ~$25B of run-rate revenue, after burning $3.7B in Q1 2026 alone against $5.7B of quarterly revenue. Internal projections surfaced to the FT and The Information show cumulative losses of roughly $115B through 2029 before the company turns cash-flow positive around 2029–2030 at $125B+ annual revenue. For context, Amazon burned roughly $3B cumulative in its first decade; Uber burned about $25B before GAAP profitability. OpenAI is in a different category entirely — and analysts including HSBC have publicly questioned whether the 2029–2030 timeline holds, citing a funding gap between committed infrastructure spend and disclosed capital raised.

YearRevenueLossNote
2024 (actual)$3.7B-$5Bbooked revenue
2025 (actual)$13.07B booked / $21.4B exit ARR-$20.9B operatingleaked, FT-verified
2026 (projected)~$25B run rate-$14Binternal forecast
2027–2028 (projected)scaling toward $75–80Blosses widen with Stargate rampinternal scenarios
2029 (projected)~$125Bfirst cash-flow-positive year (plan)~$115B cumulative burn
2030 (projected)$150B+profitability under most scenariosanalyst view: more realistic

Three numbers explain the bulk of the burn. OpenAI's 2026 compute spend with Microsoft Azure is roughly $13B (after $17.2B in 2025). The Stargate JV with SoftBank, Oracle, and MGX is in the early stages of a $500B multi-year buildout. Talent costs run roughly $4B annually across ~4,500 employees — about $900K fully loaded per head. Track this against the broader AI infrastructure spend on our AI Spending Dashboard.

OpenAI vs Anthropic, Google, and xAI: Who's Winning Revenue in 2026?

OpenAI is no longer the run-rate leader, and the August numbers show the gap held even as both companies accelerated. Anthropic passed OpenAI in April 2026 at roughly $30B versus $25B, reached $47B by late May, and hit $65B by the end of July — with preliminary Q2 revenue of $11.5B and its first-ever quarter of positive adjusted operating income. OpenAI's own breakout narrowed the gap in percentage terms but not in dollars: its run rate topped $40B in August after a five-month plateau, still $25B behind Anthropic. Full breakdown in our piece on how Anthropic hit a $47B run rate.

CompanyAug 2026 ARRRevenue MixValuationRev Multiple
Anthropic$65B (end of Jul)~80-85% enterprise/API$965B (Series H)~15x
OpenAI$40B (broke out in Jul)enterprise now >consumer$852B (flat, Aug tender)~21x
Google Gemini*not broken outbundled in Cloud/Workspacen/an/a
xAI (Grok)single-digit $Bconsumer + API~$230Bhigh

*Google reports AI revenue inside Cloud and Workspace and doesn't break out Gemini-specific ARR. Anthropic figures per its Series H disclosures and August investor updates; OpenAI figures per The Information, Bloomberg, Sacra, and Epoch AI tracking. Both companies' ARR figures are annualized run rates, not booked revenue — on trailing booked 2025 revenue, OpenAI ($13.07B) was still larger than Anthropic (~$9B).

The $1B Ads Bet: OpenAI's Third Revenue Leg

The most interesting new line in OpenAI's 2026 mix isn't enterprise — it's ads. The ChatGPT ads pilot, which launched in the free and Go tiers with 600+ advertisers, crossed $1 billion in annualized run rate in under 200 days, OpenAI said on August 31, 2026, alongside a self-serve rollout to Europe. That's a 10x jump from the $100M pace reported just weeks after launch. It's still a rounding error next to $40B in total ARR, and eMarketer estimates OpenAI will fall short of its own $2.5B 2026 ads target — but it's the fastest-scaling new revenue line OpenAI has launched since ChatGPT Plus, and with hundreds of millions of free users generating near-zero direct revenue today, it's the clearest lever left if subscription growth stalls again.

OpenAI Revenue Per User and Unit Economics

With roughly 1 billion weekly active users and $40B annualized revenue as of August, OpenAI's blended revenue per weekly active user is about $40/year — up from roughly $28/year when the run rate was still at $25B — but the distribution is wildly bimodal. The vast majority of users are free and generate almost nothing directly (the ad pilot is just starting to change that). The 50M+ paid subscribers average well over $500/year — heavily skewed by Enterprise contracts and the $200/month Pro tier.

  • Plus tier ARPU: $240/year ($20/mo × 12) — the volume base of the paid mix
  • Pro tier ARPU: $2,400/year ($200/mo × 12) — 500K+ subscribers — a $1.2B+ run-rate line on its own
  • Enterprise: 7M+ workplace seats deployed; enterprise revenue now >40% of total and heading toward parity with consumer
  • API: highly variable; top customers spend tens of millions per year each

Gross margin improved to roughly 39% in Q1 2026, up from 33% a year earlier, because the inference cost per query has dropped roughly 95% since GPT-4's launch in early 2023. The problem is that the improvement is being swamped by compute and talent spending growing as fast as revenue — which is why the operating loss keeps widening even as unit economics get better.

What OpenAI's Revenue Numbers Mean for Investors

At an $852B valuation against $40B ARR, OpenAI is priced around 21x run-rate revenue — down from roughly 34x in the spring as revenue caught up, and now roughly in line with Anthropic's ~15x on its $965B mark. The telling signal is the August tender: OpenAI let employees sell $7B of stock at the same $852B price set in March, even though ARR nearly doubled in between — investors aren't yet paying up for the growth. The bull case: OpenAI reaccelerates further, the 2029–2030 profitability plan holds, and the S-1 filed June 8, 2026 converts into a 2027 listing above the private mark. The bear case: compute costs keep scaling with revenue, Anthropic's IPO (reportedly targeted at a ~$2 trillion valuation as soon as October 2026) sets a ceiling on how the market prices OpenAI, and the July breakout proves to be a one-quarter enterprise catch-up rather than a new trend line. Compare the broader private AI revenue rankings.

For LPs in venture funds with OpenAI exposure (Sequoia, Thrive, Founders Fund, a16z, Khosla), the $852B mark is a meaningful chunk of net TVPI on 2018–2021 vintage funds — real but unrealized, with the path to DPI running through either the 2027 IPO window or continued secondary tenders at or above current marks. Track the frontier AI valuation race on our AI Valuations dashboard.

The single most important OpenAI number isn't $40B in revenue or a billion users.

It's that investors let employees sell stock in August at the same price set in March — even after ARR nearly doubled.

Growth used to be the cover story for the losses. OpenAI just proved it can reaccelerate — the five-month plateau broke, and the run rate jumped from $25B to $40B in a matter of months. But the flat $852B tender price suggests the market isn't rewarding that growth with a higher mark yet, Anthropic is still $25B ahead on revenue and valued higher at $965B, and the ~$14B 2026 burn estimate predates the July breakout. The question for the S-1 window is no longer just how fast OpenAI grows — it's whether growth this fast translates into a valuation re-rate before Anthropic's own IPO sets the market's reference price.

Track frontier AI revenue, valuations, and capex across OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta, and xAI on the AI Valuations Dashboard and the AI Spending Dashboard at Value Add VC. Originally published in the Trace Cohen newsletter.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is OpenAI's revenue in 2026?

OpenAI's annualized revenue run rate hit $40B as of August 2026 — roughly $3.3B per month — after holding near $25B from February through May. The breakout was driven by enterprise: business revenue topped consumer for the first time in July, with enterprise customer count growing 32% in a single month. On a booked basis, OpenAI recognized $13.07B of revenue in full-year 2025, per leaked audited financial statements verified by the Financial Times, up from $3.7B in 2024.

How much does OpenAI make per month?

OpenAI generates approximately $3.3B per month in revenue as of August 2026, up from ~$2B/month in the spring, ~$300M/month in late 2023, and ~$1.8B/month at the end of 2025. The trendline is the story: after adding roughly $15B of new run rate between June 2025 and February 2026, OpenAI's monthly revenue was essentially flat for five months — then broke out in July on an enterprise surge, with run-rate growth exceeding 20% month-over-month.

What did OpenAI's leaked financials show?

Audited financial statements leaked in June 2026 — first reported by Ed Zitron and verified by the Financial Times and Fortune — showed $13.07B of booked 2025 revenue against a $20.92B operating loss, with $19.18B of R&D spend, $5.73B of sales and marketing, and $17.2B paid to Microsoft for Azure compute. Net loss reached $38.5B after a one-time, non-cash ~$41.55B charge tied to OpenAI's nonprofit-to-for-profit conversion.

What is OpenAI's valuation in 2026?

OpenAI closed a $122B funding round on March 31, 2026 at an $852B post-money valuation — Amazon committed $50B (with $35B contingent on an IPO or an AGI milestone), and Nvidia and SoftBank each put in $30B. In August 2026, OpenAI completed a $7B employee tender offer at that same $852B mark — notably flat even as ARR nearly doubled to $40B, a sign investors are pricing in slower near-term markups. At $852B against ~$40B ARR, OpenAI is priced around 21x run-rate revenue, down from roughly 34x in the spring. It filed a confidential S-1 with the SEC on June 8, 2026, with a public listing now leaning toward 2027 rather than late 2026.

Is OpenAI profitable in 2026?

No. OpenAI is projected to lose roughly $14B in 2026 on ~$25B of run-rate revenue, after a $20.9B operating loss in 2025. Compute is the driver: roughly $13B of 2026 Azure spend, Stargate infrastructure commitments, and ~$4B in annual talent costs across ~4,500 employees. Internal projections show cumulative losses reaching roughly $115B through 2029 before a swing to cash-flow profitability around 2029-2030 at $125B+ revenue.

When will OpenAI become profitable?

OpenAI's internal financial plan targets first cash-flow profitability around 2029 at roughly $125B in annual revenue, with most outside analysts — including HSBC — treating 2030 or later as more realistic. The plan assumes consumer ARPU keeps climbing, API margins improve as inference costs fall, the new ads business scales, and agent products start generating per-task revenue.

Has Anthropic passed OpenAI in revenue?

Yes, on an annualized run-rate basis, and the gap is still wide. Anthropic's run rate crossed OpenAI's in April 2026 at roughly $30B versus OpenAI's ~$25B, reached $47B by late May, and surged to $65B by the end of July 2026 — with preliminary Q2 revenue of $11.5B (up from $787M a year earlier) and Anthropic's first-ever quarter of positive adjusted operating income. OpenAI's ARR has since accelerated to $40B as of August, narrowing the gap in percentage terms, but Anthropic still leads by $25B on a run-rate basis, is valued higher ($965B vs. $852B), and investors are reportedly targeting a ~$2 trillion IPO valuation as soon as October 2026. Anthropic's own guidance points to $100–120B in ARR by the end of 2026.

How does OpenAI make money?

Roughly 70% of OpenAI's revenue is ChatGPT subscriptions — Plus ($20/month), Team, Edu, Enterprise, and the $200/month Pro tier — across more than 50 million paid subscribers. About 25% is API consumption from developers and enterprises building on GPT-5-class models. The remaining ~5% is Sora video, licensing, and a ChatGPT ads business that crossed $1 billion in annualized run rate by August 31, 2026, in under 200 days since launch.

How many ChatGPT users does OpenAI have in 2026?

ChatGPT crossed 1 billion monthly active users in June 2026, with roughly 900 million weekly actives — up from 400M weekly at the start of the year. Paid subscribers exceed 50 million across Plus, Pro, Team, Enterprise, and Edu tiers, with more than 7 million enterprise workplace seats deployed. Free-to-paid conversion remains the single most-watched lever inside OpenAI's revenue model.

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