The venture capital industry has a paper-wealth problem. Funds report strong TVPI. LPs nod politely. Then they ask the one question that actually matters: how much cash have you returned?
Most GPs go quiet at that point. DPI — distributions to paid-in capital — is the only VC fund performance metric that measures real cash back in LP accounts, and it is the number the entire industry has been quietly underperforming for the better part of a decade.
The Four VC Fund Performance Metrics Explained
Every LP report you will ever read from a VC fund uses some combination of these four metrics. Understanding each one — and its limitations — is how you cut through the noise.
| Metric | What It Measures | Top Quartile | Median | Can Be Gamed? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPI | Cash returned / capital invested | 1.5x+ by yr 10 | <0.8x by yr 10 | Hard |
| TVPI | Total value (realized + unrealized) / invested | 3.0x+ | 1.5–1.8x | Yes — via markups |
| Net IRR | Annualized return net of fees & carry | 20%+ | 8–12% | Yes — via capital recycling |
| RVPI | Unrealized NAV / capital invested | High early, 0 at close | Decreases over time | Yes — inflated markups |
Source: Cambridge Associates, Carta LP data, PitchBook 2024. Year 10 benchmarks for 2013–2015 vintage funds.
Why TVPI Is a Dangerous Number
TVPI looks like a complete picture: it adds realized cash (DPI) to unrealized portfolio value (RVPI). The problem is that RVPI is a mark — an estimate. And in venture capital, marks are set by the latest funding round, not by actual exits.
The 2021 Vintage Problem
2021 vintage funds marked up portfolios aggressively through 2022. Average early-stage TVPI for 2021 funds peaked above 2.5x — on paper. By 2024, with down rounds and write-downs, the same cohort averaged closer to 1.6x TVPI, with DPI still near 0.1x. The cash never materialized.
The Zombie Unicorn Problem
Hundreds of companies still sitting on fund balance sheets at $1B+ valuations have not raised a new round since 2021–2022. Their marks haven't moved down. Until there is a liquidity event — IPO, acquisition, or write-down — that TVPI contribution is fiction that inflates performance reports.
I've seen this play out across many of my 65+ investments. A company raises a Series C at a $500M valuation, it gets marked in the fund as such, and suddenly the GP is reporting 4.0x on that position. But the company is burning $8M a month with no clear exit path. That's a number on a spreadsheet, not a number you can put in your endowment distribution.
How VC Fund Performance Converts to DPI (The Hard Truth)
Cambridge Associates tracks VC fund performance by vintage year going back to the 1980s. The data tells a clear story: generating DPI above 1.0x is genuinely hard, and the gap between reported TVPI and actual DPI is widest in the first 7–8 years of a fund.
TVPI
~1.1x
DPI
~0.05x
Almost no distributions — fund is still deploying
TVPI
~1.4x
DPI
~0.15x
Some early exits, but most value is unrealized
TVPI
~1.7x
DPI
~0.45x
Secondary distributions beginning; still far from 1x
TVPI
~2.0x
DPI
~0.85x
Median fund still hasn't fully returned principal in cash
TVPI
~2.2x
DPI
~1.3x
Fully realized — but took well over a decade
Based on Cambridge Associates median VC fund data, 2010–2016 vintages.
Why IRR Can Be Engineered
Net IRR is the annualized return metric most GPs quote when they're pitching their next fund. It sounds rigorous — a compound annual return rate, net of all fees and carry. But it has two structural vulnerabilities that sophisticated LPs have learned to watch for.
- 1.Capital recycling inflates IRR. If a fund exits a position early and redeploys those proceeds, the IRR clock resets on that capital. A fund that makes fast early exits and recycles aggressively will show a much higher IRR than a fund that holds for full value. Neither approach is wrong — but they produce very different IRR numbers that aren't directly comparable.
- 2.The J-curve timing effect. IRR is highly sensitive to when cash flows occur. A fund that gets a fast liquidity event in year 2 will show a dramatically higher IRR than a fund that gets an identical return in year 8, even if the DPI is identical. Quoting IRR on a fund that's only 4 years old is almost meaningless — the denominator of time is too small.
This is why Institutional LPs at Yale, Harvard, and the big pension funds have shifted toward DPI as their primary north-star metric for VC fund performance evaluation. You can't argue with cash in the bank.
What Good VC Fund Performance Actually Looks Like
Top-quartile venture funds, per Carta and Cambridge Associates benchmarking data through 2024, look like this at full realization (year 12–15 for most funds):
Net IRR
Top Quartile
20%+
Median
8–12%
Bottom Quartile
<5%
TVPI
Top Quartile
3.0x+
Median
1.5–1.8x
Bottom Quartile
<1.0x
DPI
Top Quartile
1.5x+
Median
0.8–1.1x
Bottom Quartile
<0.5x
The brutal truth: only the top 20% of VC funds consistently outperform public markets net of fees. That's the number that matters when an LP is deciding whether to allocate to venture at all versus just buying the S&P 500. And within that top 20%, DPI above 1.5x is the watermark that separates genuinely great funds from merely good ones.
You can explore current fund performance data on the VC/PE Performance dashboard and the VC Performance tracker at Value Add VC — both updated with the latest vintage benchmarks.
The LP Liquidity Crisis Made DPI Non-Negotiable
From 2022 through 2025, the IPO market was largely closed. M&A deal volume fell significantly. VC-backed companies that had raised at peak 2021 valuations were burning runway without clear exit paths. The result: LP portfolios showed strong TVPI on paper while distributions fell off a cliff.
University endowments that relied on VC distributions to fund capital calls in other asset classes found themselves over-committed. Pension funds had distribution targets they couldn't meet from VC. Family offices that had piled into SPVs and emerging managers in 2020–2021 had locked up capital with no visibility to liquidity.
This was the liquidity crisis that restructured how LPs think about VC fund performance. Going forward, DPI is not an afterthought — it's the headline metric, evaluated at every LP advisory board meeting, and increasingly a prerequisite for GP fund re-up conversations.
If you're a GP fundraising right now, know this:
LPs no longer care what your TVPI says. They want to know your DPI — and whether you can explain exactly when you expect to cross 1x in cash.
Paper returns don't fund endowment distributions, pension liabilities, or LP commitments to your next fund. Cash does. DPI is the only VC performance metric that proves you actually returned money — and every other number is a proxy until you do.
Track VC and PE fund performance benchmarks on the VC/PE Performance Dashboard at Value Add VC. For fund benchmarking tools, see the Benchmarking Dashboard. Originally published in the Trace Cohen newsletter.