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Invest Like the Best · Est. 2016 · An Unofficial Analysis

Ten years of the best conversations, decoded.

Every episode Patrick O'Shaughnessy has published — read, measured, and turned into a living map of who came on, what they discussed, how it changed, and what there is to learn.

0
episodes decoded
0h
of conversation
0
unique guests
0
lessons extracted
476 conversations · the guests
71 min
typical length
5.7M
words transcribed
1,661
companies discussed
58
repeat guests
01

The Show Over Time

A near-perfect weekly metronome

Patrick has published on a remarkably steady cadence since September 2016 — and the conversations have grown noticeably longer as the show matured.

Episodes per year

Publishing volume across the run

Median episode length

Minutes per episode, by year

When episodes ship

Month-by-month publishing intensity

J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D
Total
2016
3
5
5
4
17
2017
5
4
4
4
5
4
4
5
4
5
3
3
50
2018
5
4
3
2
5
3
4
4
5
3
2
3
43
2019
4
3
4
4
3
3
4
3
1
1
4
3
37
2020
4
1
9
5
4
5
4
3
5
4
4
5
53
2021
4
4
5
4
4
5
4
5
3
4
5
4
51
2022
4
4
5
4
5
4
4
5
4
4
5
4
52
2023
5
4
4
5
4
3
4
3
4
5
4
3
48
2024
3
2
4
5
4
4
3
3
5
5
3
6
47
2025
4
4
4
5
4
5
5
4
3
3
4
3
48
2026
4
4
5
5
5
5
2
30
Fewer
More (up to 9/month)

Each cell is one month; the number is the episode count.

What we learned  episodes stretched from a ~66-minute median in 2016 to ~71 minutes in 2026 — the format shifted from quick hits toward long, open-ended conversations as the show matured.

02

Who Comes On

From value investors to founders and AI builders

The guest mix is the clearest signal of how the show evolved — early years leaned on public-markets and hedge-fund investors; later years tilt hard toward founders, operators, and venture.

Guest mix, all-time

Episodes by guest type

Guest mix over time

Share of each year by guest type

What we learned  Founder / Operator guests are now the single biggest group — a decisive shift from the markets-heavy early years toward the people actually building companies.

03

The Most Quotable Minds

Who gave the show its best material

Ranked by how much genuinely quotable wisdom each guest produced across their appearances — a blend of distilled insights and verbatim lines. The people who keep getting invited back tend to top it.

Quotability leaderboard

Insights + quotes captured per guest

Most frequent guests

Number of appearances

What we learned  Brent Beshore tops the board — the show's most valuable material clusters around a small set of returning thinkers who've become its intellectual backbone.

04

What They Talk About

The conversation followed the money into AI

Mapping every episode's topics into industry themes shows the show's center of gravity moving in real time — from value investing and hedge funds toward company-building, software, and, unmistakably, artificial intelligence.

Themes, all-time

Episodes touching each industry theme

Themes over time

Share of each year's topics

What we learned  AI & machine learning went from a rounding error to one of the biggest themes on the show — roughly 7% of topics in 2016 to 38% in 2026 — tracking the technology's takeover of the investing conversation.

05

Companies in the Conversation

The names that come up again and again

Across ten years a familiar cast of companies anchors the discussion — and the risers and fallers tell you exactly where attention moved.

Most-discussed companies

Episodes mentioning each company

Rising & fading

Change in mention rate, 2016–20 vs 2021–26

What we learned  OpenAI is the fastest riser — from near-absent to one of the most-referenced companies on the show — alongside Anthropic and NVIDIA, as the AI platform shift reshaped what investors talk about.

06

Lines Worth Keeping

The quotes you rewind to catch again

Short, verbatim, genuinely remarkable — pulled straight from the transcripts.

If a board is beholden to too many bosses, it's easy for them to be beholden to nobody.
Jeff Gramm · 2016
It's not rising to the occasion. It's looking back on what you did to prepare yourself.
Kiley Adams · 2016
It's not the action that's important. In many cases, it's inaction.
Jeff Ptak · 2016
The default is death in the startup realm. And as an investor, you're funding default of death.
Brent Beshore · 2017
The entire world was a tuxedo and we were a pair of brown shoes.
Jim O'Shaughnessy · 2017
Leverage is the root of every demise. It can work for you, but when it works against you it's over.
Danny Moses · 2017
I trust people more in my industry than people I grew up with.
Ira Judelson · 2017
The minute there are multiple buyers for anything, prices get efficient very quickly.
Rishi Ganti · 2017
Illiquidity is a massive, massive positive—it forces thoughtful entry and prevents daily mark-to-market panic selling.
Meb Faber · 2017
07

What We Learned

805 concrete takeaways

Every interview distilled into its practical investing and building lessons — the transferable ideas, stripped of the anecdote.

Screen for bad capital allocation to avoid rather than great allocation to find — disasters are predictable, brilliance is not.

Jeff Gramm · 2016

Judge failed ideas on timing, not merit — the ridiculed business of one cycle often becomes the profitable one two decades later once infrastructure catches up.

Morgan Housel · 2016

Adopt an internal locus of control — treating every miss as a fixable process error compounds skill faster than blaming conditions.

Kiley Adams · 2016

Diligence the origin story: ideas born from a founder's own pain point survive the trough; ideas born from market-size reports don't.

Craig Shapiro · 2016

Follow anomalies that don't make sense — a fish pond built mid-war and one enemy-free bodyguard staying put were the threads that led to Saddam

Eric Maddox · 2016

Remove yourself from execution: define entry, exit, and rules in a cold state, then let a system trade so hot emotions never touch the order

Dan Egan · 2017

Fee-driven pressure to deploy capital is the enemy of good decisions; the willingness to withstand lumpiness and wait for the right deal is the edge.

Brent Beshore · 2017

The best interventions are often subtractive — removing sugar, gluten, and food from the day beats adding new things, just like investing.

Peter Attia · 2017

Longer-duration capital is a genuine edge: it lets you buy events that resolve with certainty over years but at unknown timing, priced cheaper than dated catalysts.

Ted Seides & Brent Beshore · 2017

Favor products that are a tiny share of the customer's spend but mission-critical—price sensitivity vanishes and incumbency compounds.

Royce Yudkoff & Rick Ruback · 2017

Insurance float plus a talented investor is one of the hardest compounding machines to beat over 20 years.

Will Thorndike · 2017

Screen out founders with poor attention to detail and no marketing math — a good product with margins that can't fund positioning will fail.

David Chilton · 2017

Embrace Knightian uncertainty; best alpha comes from opportunities where outcomes are unpredictable but systemically possible.

Jerry Neumann · 2017

Private markets are 50+ years less efficient than public markets were in the 1950s; lower liquidity forces long-term thinking and prevents panic volatility.

Morgan Housel & Jason Zweig · 2017

Early-stage portfolio requires 10-year horizon, multiple vintages, hundreds of looks; expect one 20% winner and many zeros as normal.

Meb Faber · 2017

08

The Wisdom Ledger

Insight, filtered by theme

A deeper library of standalone insights on investing, building, leadership, markets, craft, and life. Filter to what you care about.

Hire a Secretary of State not a salesman—someone fluent in your industry who represents your best self when you're absent.
John Kim2026 · leadership
In the drama triangle, find the victim's pain and become hero solution, or empathize with villain—both paths build trust.
John Kim2026 · craft
Great differentiation requires sacrifice—if you won't commit to your positioning, consistency disappears and people recognize it's just branding.
John Kim2026 · leadership
People over-index on logic but persuasion is emotional—win hearts first, then minds; rationalization just justifies the emotional decision.
John Kim2026 · leadership
Your initial 'hard reelect' number from friends/family becomes your ceiling—you typically raise 2-3x that amount due to trust constraints.
John Kim2026 · investing
In capital raising, you pick two of three: size, speed, terms. Speed requires trust; size and terms directly trade off.
John Kim2026 · investing
Track record plus differentiation divided by complexity—complications dilute trust and prevent others from explaining your story credibly.
John Kim2026 · craft
Consensus is hardest and most powerful thing to move capital; once formed, it becomes winner-take-all on other side.
John Kim2026 · markets
Persuasion equals desire minus fear—people aren't risk-loving, they're skilled at rationalizing risk down to justify desired returns.
John Kim2026 · investing
Money moves at the speed of trust, not communication—the key unlock is belief to trust, which is psychological not logical.
John Kim2026 · markets
Write job descriptions as standalone tweets that filter for your person—ambiguity in requirements tests confidence and draws out ideal candidates.
Jeremy Giffon2026 · leadership
Simplicity beats complexity in investing—best ideas are often 'long Elon' or 'buy at 200-week moving average,' skill is selling it clearly.
Jeremy Giffon2026 · craft
You beat the market easier as individual than professional because personal skin-in-the-game bets don't require explanation or performance anxiety.
Jeremy Giffon2026 · investing
Venture capital's equity model is more generative than private equity's debt-driven extraction; equity is optimistic and uncapped to upside.
Jeremy Giffon2026 · investing
Markets lack nuance—driven by passive flows and what AI algorithms select to show, creating massive variance even in largest companies.
Jeremy Giffon2026 · markets
Most white-collar jobs are made up, not contingent on shelter/food/medicine. They exist because capital needs deployment, creating infinite fake work.
Jeremy Giffon2026 · life
Society moved from worshipping scientists to billionaires to now the posting class; watch which class is subservient to know who's next.
Jeremy Giffon2026 · life
Posting is the last great meritocracy—new accounts with good writing reach 500M via algorithm, regardless of following.
Jeremy Giffon2026 · markets
09

The Kindness Wall

“What's the kindest thing anyone has ever done for you?”

Patrick closes nearly every episode with the same question. Gathered together, the answers — mentors, parents, second chances, strangers — are the show's quiet masterpiece.

♡ kindness
Support from my wife across all the lunacy of being a fundraiser. The most meaningful was my 50th birthday—she got autographed guitars from every Styx band member, backstage passes, and even got my younger brother to learn 'Come Sail Away' on piano so we could play together on stage. It was rare, required resources to execute, and celebrated who I actually am.
John Kim · 2026-07-14
♡ kindness
During cancer treatment at age 16, I faced a choice: surgery (live but never walk) or radiation (might die but can walk). My parents told me to decide. I chose surgery. After, I needed rare radiation in Boston. Both parents dropped everything and moved to live with me for months. I'm eternally grateful.
Gavin Uberti & Rob Wachen · 2026-06-30
♡ kindness
The kindest thing is the group of people who fought for legal immigration pathways to America. They allowed me to have a very different life and contribute positively. I'm grateful to be an American citizen and want to remind people that America is still the shining city on a hill.
Vlad Barbalat · 2026-06-23
♡ kindness
Friends told me they loved me unconditionally before Clay succeeded. I realized I don't need achievement to deserve care. This freed me to do things because I want to, not to fill a void.
Kareem Amin · 2026-06-16
♡ kindness
My father graduated Cornell electrical engineering, became a partner at Goldman Sachs, and when I started Whale Rock, he said, 'I've been at Goldman 41 years. Let me join as chairman. You build the firm; I'll be the gray hair and overseer.' We worked together for six years until he passed in 2011. He was my mentor, so modest and wise. When he died, I got letters from so many people saying how much he meant to them. I feel so lucky I got to work with him.
Alex Sacerdote · 2026-06-09
♡ kindness
My wife Sid took me in and showed me I could be the person I wanted to be, not who I thought I was supposed to be. Until I met her, I was always living what I imagined others expected. Seeing her be the same authentic person everywhere—with me, our kids, at Sun Valley with billionaires—gave me permission to do the same. That permission to be myself was a gift I could never replace.
Dara Khosrowshahi · 2026-06-03
♡ kindness
My friend Carter let me sleep on his couch during a 6-9 month period between jobs before I started at Jefferies. When I got hired, I suggested some distressed debt opportunities and he trusted me with a few hundred thousand dollars. It turned into over a million, and he rolled it into my fund. That enabled me to get Third Point started.
Dan Loeb · 2026-05-28
♡ kindness
My older brother chose to attend college in-state despite getting into prestigious out-of-state schools, primarily to give me the financial freedom to choose my own path six years later. I didn't know this until years after, but learning that sacrifice—prioritizing my future opportunity over his—taught me what real kindness looks like.
Krishna Rao · 2026-05-13
♡ kindness
The biggest gift anyone's given me is believe in me. When I was 16, my teacher Miss Williams believed in me and told my parents I'd become a famous artist. That belief gave me confidence I was good at something. Later, Paul Graham believed in me despite thinking our Airbnb idea was bad (he asked 'people are actually doing this? What's wrong with them?'). Michael Seibel at Justin.tv believed in me. My early investors believed in me when I had no business being CEO. That consistent belief from teachers, founders, and investors compounded over time, shaping my entire trajectory. Now I try to give back by seeing potential in others they don't see in themselves.
Brian Chesky · 2026-05-05
♡ kindness
At age 2-3 at the Curb Market in Memphis, I got separated from my mother and was terrified. An elderly black gentleman found me, held my hand, walked the aisles with me until we found her. My mother offered him $5 (huge in 1957), and he said, 'No ma'am. I know you'd do that for my child too.' I never learned his name, but my mother and I added him to our nightly prayer list. For 10-12 years, I prayed for that man maybe 5,000 times. That act of kindness rippled through my entire life, eventually inspiring the I Have a Dream Program and Robin Hood Foundation.
Paul Tudor Jones · 2026-04-28
10

Every Episode

The complete, searchable archive

All 476 decoded episodes with guest, date, length, and a one-line summary. Filter by guest type or search any topic; titles link to the official Colossus transcript.

476 episodes

EPDateGuestEpisodeLen
4822026-07-14John KimHow to Raise a Few Billion Dollars

Trust, not logic, moves capital—master fundraising by compressing complexity, building consensus, choosing your trade-offs, then executing with consistency.

50m
4812026-07-07Jeremy GiffonPosting, Priests, & Private Markets

Narrative beats returns in private markets; the posting class now rules the hierarchy, replacing billionaires as society's new priestly class.

75m
4802026-06-30Gavin Uberti & Rob WachenThe Future of AI Hardware

Two young founders designed an AI inference chip betting on low voltage and vertical integration, aiming to make thinking the largest market in the world.

87m
4792026-06-23Vlad BarbalatThe Power of Permanent Capital

How a $120B permanent-capital insurance platform thinks about investing, partnerships, and America's unique role in enabling agency.

70m
4782026-06-16Kareem AminCourage, Truth, & Justice

How a founder moves from creating from lack to wholeness, and what that means for leadership and company culture.

57m
4772026-06-09Alex SacerdoteInvesting on the S-Curve

How to apply S-curve, moat, and earnings frameworks to identify tomorrow's leaders in infrastructure and models before the crowd.

71m
4762026-06-03Dara KhosrowshahiOrder Out of Chaos

How supply-led thinking, empathy for operations, and comfort with chaos enable market leadership across mobility, delivery, and autonomous vehicles.

67m
4752026-05-28Dan LoebReminiscences of an Investor

How a credit investor evolved to embrace quality and AI while staying curious, flexible, and grounded in governance activism.

63m
4742026-05-26Darren FarberThe New Rules of War

How commercial innovation, political legitimacy, and Congressional appropriation authority will determine America's military dominance across theaters from Iran to Taiwan to China.

46m
4732026-05-20Gavin BakerWatts and Wafers

How geopolitical AI dominance, TSMC's supply discipline, and orbital compute reshape capital allocation across the AI infrastructure stack.

77m
4722026-05-13Krishna RaoThe Cone of Uncertainty

How Anthropic's CFO navigates exponential growth through disciplined compute allocation, fungible infrastructure, and relentless frontier model development.

76m
4712026-05-05Brian CheskyAI Founder Mode

Brian Chesky on founder mode obsession in the AI era, belief as the compounding asset, and why design thinking becomes the founder's moat against disruption.

75m
4702026-04-28Paul Tudor JonesYou Retire, You Die

Paul Tudor Jones on 50 years of macro trading mastery, valuation's crisis warnings, and why kindness ripples compound into lifetime meaning.

67m
4692026-04-23Dylan PatelThe Supply and Demand of Tokens

Dylan Patel breaks down explosive token demand from AI adoption, structural supply bottlenecks in memory/compute, and emerging risks from token concentration among elite firms.

45m
4682026-04-21Alex KarnalThe Trillion-Dollar Health Revolution

GLP-1s and PCSK9s are inverting healthcare from reactive treatment to preventive stacks; direct-to-consumer channels unlock a trillion-dollar market.

92m
4672026-04-14Scott NolanBetting on Atoms

Exploit stagnant oligopolies by finding neglected founders solving hard problems; nuclear and uranium enrichment are primed for disruption.

76m
4662026-04-08Alan WaxmanClarity of Purpose

Three systems of capital market guardrails explain today's crisis: why the factory model's growth at expense of underwriting risks repeating 2008.

62m
4652026-03-31Sergey LevineBuilding General Physical Intelligence

Sergey Levine on embodied foundation models: general beats specialized, common sense solves edge cases, research timing intuition matters most.

67m
4642026-03-24Mitchell GreenBuilding a Machine

Mitchell Green on building a software investment machine: process beats genius, consistency beats moonshots, and cold calling reveals founder quality.

54m
4632026-03-17William HockeyPlaying a Different Game

William Hockey on bootstrapping fintech infrastructure, learning from emerging markets, and aligning founder incentives through personal risk-taking.

71m
4622026-03-10Shyam SankarCelebrating Heretics

Shyam Sankar on military heretics, manufacturing reindustrialization, and why innovation only happens where you make things.

82m
4612026-03-04John ArnoldThe Best Seat in the Market

John Arnold on China's 10x building speed, cultivating "the best seat," and how NIMBY delays bottleneck American innovation.

76m
4602026-02-24Dan SundheimThe Art of Public and Private Market Investing

Dan Sundheim on private-public market synergies, LLM business models as Netflix-meets-Spotify, and why Taiwan semiconductors pose civilization-level risk.

75m
4592026-02-18Josh KushnerConcentration and Conviction

Josh Kushner on why small, concentrated teams focused on category leaders beat diversification, the danger of believing your own hype, and enabling founders to create their best work.

63m
4582026-02-10Alex Behring & Daniel SchwartzInside 3G Capital

3G Capital's concentrated operator-led model turns rare great businesses into durable franchises by merging financial discipline with decade-long operational thinking.

96m
4572026-02-03Ben HorowitzBacking America's Future

Ben Horowitz on why AI empowers individual opportunity, the overlooked role of mentorship, and deploying technology over policy to solve complex problems.

56m
4562026-01-29Gokul RajaramLessons from Investing in 700 Companies

Gokul Rajaram on how AI is transforming product management and the future of design and engineering.

76m
4552026-01-20Patrick O’ShaughnessyCreating on Principle

The host under the microscope: Patrick reveals the single principle — champion undiscovered talent — that daisy-chained a book email into Colossus and Positive Sum.

127m
4542026-01-13Tom Digan & Greg StewartBuilding the World’s Best Fitness App

Two founders build Ladder from near-bankruptcy to #1 fitness app through relentless customer empathy and TikTok mastery.

74m
4532026-01-06Reed HastingsBuilding Netflix

Building Netflix

63m
4522025-12-16Henry EllenbogenMan Versus Machine

Man Versus Machine

108m
4512025-12-09Gavin BakerNvidia v. Google, Scaling Laws, and the Economics of AI

Nvidia v. Google, Scaling Laws, and the Economics of AI

86m
4502025-12-02David GeorgeInside a16z Growth

David's thesis: back technical terminators in pull businesses during early product cycles; growth de-risks, leaders capture 50-90% of value.

67m
4492025-11-25Martín EscobariInside General Atlantic

Martín's spearfishing thesis: wait years for asymmetric opportunities, strike fast; growth equity is cheapest since 2009 at 15x EBITDA.

70m
4482025-11-19Ari EmanuelThe Anti-AI Bet

As AI commoditizes digital content, live experiences become the anti-AI hedge—and Ari's building the portfolio to monetize that shift.

62m
4472025-11-11Wolfgang HammerThe Power of Story

How the three-layer storytelling framework used in cinema can help founders communicate why their business matters.

43m
4462025-11-04Luca FerrariBuilding Bending Spoons

How a design obsession and obsessive iteration culture turned a small Italian team into one of the world's most valuable private software companies.

82m
4452025-10-21Karim AtiyehBuilding Ramp

How AI agents, not lagging indicators, shape the future of finance automation for founders obsessed with eliminating bureaucratic waste.

106m
4442025-10-16Dan WangThe US vs China in the 21st Century

The US vs China in the 21st Century

96m
4432025-10-06Jesse ZhangBuilding Decagon

Building Decagon

82m